Last Updated: July 28, 2026

Project 2029 Economic Audit: June 2026

Executive Summary

This audit cross-references the core economic pillars of the Project 2029 framework with the most recent (Q1/Q2 2026) macroeconomic data from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), and the Federal Reserve.

Conclusion: The framework remains structurally sound, but the healthcare savings projections are currently under-estimating the potential impact due to recent surges in Medicare costs. A minor inflationary adjustment to the minimum wage target may be required before legislative filing.

Audit Status (June 2026): 2 findings implemented, 1 reviewed (no change). Every monetary change below has been propagated to all public pages where the figure appears (EN + ES) and verified for internal consistency across the fiscal model. Each finding records its before → after values in the Change Applied block.

1. Act 6 (Labor): Minimum Wage vs. Inflation

• Framework Target: $25/hour Federal Minimum Wage.
• Current Reality (June 2026): The BLS reported a 4.2% year-over-year CPI inflation rate in May 2026. Cumulative inflation since the $25 target was initially drafted in 2024 has slightly eroded purchasing power.
• Recommendation: No immediate edits required, but we should add a footnote to the Criminal Justice Reform and We the People plan pages stating that the $25/hr target is pegged to 2024 dollars and will be adjusted via an automatic CPI-link upon enactment.
• ✅ Change Applied (June 2026): Added the inflation-basis footnote.
  • From: “$25/hour” stated with no inflation basis.
  • To: “$25/hr expressed in 2024 dollars, indexed via an automatic CPI-link upon enactment” so real purchasing power is preserved.
  • Pages updated: Criminal Justice Reform (EN + ES), We the People plan (EN + ES, in the $25 minimum-wage FAQ).

2. Act 2 (Healthcare): Medicare Projections

• Framework Target: $200B+ annual savings from aggressive Medicare drug price negotiations.
• Current Reality (June 2026): The CBO’s February 2026 Budget and Economic Outlook revised Medicare mandatory outlays upward by $1 Trillion over the next decade due to skyrocketing private plan bids. Total federal health spending is now projected to hit $3.1 Trillion by 2036.
• Recommendation: The $200B savings target is now mathematically too conservative. Because the baseline cost of Medicare is surging faster than expected, aggressive negotiations would yield proportionally higher savings. Action: Update the savings language on the Health Security Act page to indicate that savings will likely exceed $250B annually based on the 2026 CBO baseline.

• ✅ Change Applied (June 2026): Raised the conservative drug-savings floor and cascaded every dependent total. Before → after:

  Figure	Before	After
  Prescription drug savings	$200-300B	$250-300B
  Total healthcare savings	$350-570B	$400-570B
  Net healthcare impact (after public-option cost)	$100-320B	$150-320B
  Conservative revenue/savings	$1.055T	$1.105T
  Conservative net deficit	-$235B	-$185B
  Worst-case deficit reduction vs. today	86%	~89%
  Net improvement vs. status quo	$1.47T-$2.60T	$1.52T-$2.60T

  • Unchanged (only the conservative floor moved): the moderate (+$330B) and optimistic (+$895B) surplus scenarios, and the $300B / $570B / $1.735T optimistic ceilings.
  • Pages updated: Health Security Act (EN + ES), Fiscal Analysis (EN + ES), FAQs (EN + ES), We the People plan (EN + ES), 5-Minute Summary (EN + ES), the homepage and master plan (EN + ES), and the Medium introduction.
  • Not changed (intentionally): the “$200-300B” figures in the administrative-overhead efficiency FAQ and the Year-1 tax-revenue phase-in — these are different line items that happen to share the number, not the drug-negotiation figure.

3. Act 5 (Tax Justice): Wealth Concentration

• Framework Target: 2% Wealth Tax on assets over $50M.
• Current Reality (June 2026): The Federal Reserve’s Distributional Financial Accounts (DFA) for Q1 2026 show that the Top 1% share of financial assets remains heavily concentrated at the very top.
• Recommendation: The $50M floor remains mathematically sound. The concentration of wealth above this threshold is sufficient to generate the required revenue to fund the framework’s social safety nets. No edits required.
• ✓ Reviewed — No Change (June 2026): Threshold and revenue assumptions confirmed against Q1 2026 Federal Reserve DFA data. No public values changed.